Fianna Fáil's Jim Gavin Pulls Out from Ireland's Presidential Race
With an unexpected announcement, one of the primary contenders in the Irish race for president has withdrawn from the campaign, dramatically altering the political landscape.
Sudden Exit Shakes Up Election Dynamics
Fianna Fáil's Jim Gavin pulled out on Sunday night following disclosures about an outstanding payment to a former tenant, turning the race into an volatile head-to-head battle between a centre-right former government minister and an independent leftwing member of parliament.
Gavin, 54, a inexperienced candidate who joined the election after careers in sports, airline industry and defense, quit after it came to light he had failed to return a excess rental payment of €3,300 when he was a property owner about a decade and a half ago, during a period of economic hardship.
"I committed an error that was inconsistent with my character and the standards I set myself. I am now taking steps to address the matter," he declared. "Reflecting deeply, regarding the possible effects of the continuing election battle on the wellbeing of my relatives and acquaintances.
"After evaluating everything, I've chosen to exit from the race for the presidency with immediate action and go back to my family."
Race Narrowed to Primary Hopefuls
The most dramatic event in a election race in modern times limited the options to one candidate, a former cabinet minister who is running for the incumbent center-right political party Fine Gael, and another candidate, an outspoken pro-Palestinian voice who is backed by Sinn Féin and left-leaning minor parties.
Crisis for Leadership
Gavin's exit also triggered a crisis for the prime minister and party head, Micheál Martin, who had risked his standing by selecting an untried candidate over the skepticism of fellow members.
He commented the candidate wished to avoid "bring controversy" to the presidency and was correct to step down. "Jim has accepted that he was at fault in relation to an issue that has emerged recently."
Campaign Struggles
Although known for skill and accomplishments in business and sport – he guided Dublin's Gaelic football team to multiple successive wins – his campaign had stumbled through blunders that caused him to fall behind in an survey even before the unpaid debt disclosure.
Party members who had opposed selecting the candidate said the fiasco was a "major error in judgment" that would have "consequences" – a thinly veiled warning to the leader.
Voting System
The candidate's name may remain on the ballot in the poll taking place in late October, which will finish the long service of the current president, but people must choose between a binary choice between a centrist establishment candidate and an non-aligned left-leaning candidate. A poll taken before Gavin's exit gave Connolly 32% support and Humphreys nearly a quarter, with the former candidate at 15 percent.
Under electoral rules, voters select candidates in order of preference. If no candidate exceeds 50% on the first count, the hopeful with the fewest primary selections is removed and their support is passed to the subsequent choice.
Potential Vote Transfers
Observers anticipated that should Gavin be removed, a majority of his ballots would go to Humphreys, and conversely, increasing the likelihood that a establishment hopeful would secure the presidency for the allied parties.
Presidential Duties
The presidency is a largely symbolic post but the current and former presidents made it a venue for worldwide concerns.
Surviving Hopefuls
Connolly, 68, from Galway, would bring a strong leftwing voice to that tradition. She has assailed free-market policies and stated the group represents "part of the fabric" of the Palestinian people. Connolly has alleged NATO of promoting military solutions and equated Germany's increased defence spending to the thirties, when Adolf Hitler rearmed the country.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has been subjected to review over her record as a minister in governments that presided over a housing crisis. A Presbyterian from the border county of Monaghan, she has also been questioned about her failure to speak Gaelic but stated her Protestant heritage could help win over unionist community in a united Ireland.